<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Maertens de Noordhout, Charline</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Brecht Devleesschauwer</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">J A Haagsma</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A. H. Havelaar</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sophie Bertrand</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Vandenberg, Olivier</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sophie Quoilin</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Brandt, Patrick T</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Speybroeck, Niko</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis: a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020.</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Euro Surveill</style></secondary-title><alt-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Euro Surveill.</style></alt-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">burden</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Campylobacter</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Listeria</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Salmonella</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2017</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2017 Sep 21</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">22</style></volume><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;Salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis are food-borne diseases. We estimated and forecasted the number of cases of these three diseases in Belgium from 2012 to 2020, and calculated the corresponding number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The salmonellosis time series was fitted with a Bai and Perron two-breakpoint model, while a dynamic linear model was used for campylobacteriosis and a Poisson autoregressive model for listeriosis. The average monthly number of cases of salmonellosis was 264 (standard deviation (SD): 86) in 2012 and predicted to be 212 (SD: 87) in 2020; campylobacteriosis case numbers were 633 (SD: 81) and 1,081 (SD: 311); listeriosis case numbers were 5 (SD: 2) in 2012 and 6 (SD: 3) in 2014. After applying correction factors, the estimated DALYs for salmonellosis were 102 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 8-376) in 2012 and predicted to be 82 (95% UI: 6-310) in 2020; campylobacteriosis DALYs were 1,019 (95% UI: 137-3,181) and 1,736 (95% UI: 178-5,874); listeriosis DALYs were 208 (95% UI: 192-226) in 2012 and 252 (95% UI: 200-307) in 2014. New actions are needed to reduce the risk of food-borne infection with Campylobacter spp. because campylobacteriosis incidence may almost double through 2020.&lt;/p&gt;
</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">38</style></issue><custom1><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28935025?dopt=Abstract</style></custom1></record></records></xml>