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Home > Biblio > Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis: a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020.

Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis: a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020.

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Public Access

Published

Peer reviewed scientific article

English

DOI : http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.38.30615 [2]

Authors

Maertens de Noordhout, Charline [3]; Brecht Devleesschauwer [4]; J A Haagsma [5]; A. H. Havelaar [6]; Sophie Bertrand [7]; Vandenberg, Olivier [8]; Sophie Quoilin [9]; Brandt, Patrick T [10]; Speybroeck, Niko [11]

Keywords

  1. burden [12]
  2. Campylobacter [13]
  3. Listeria [14]
  4. Salmonella [15]
Article written during project(s) : 
BeBOD Belgian National Burden of Disease Study [16]

Abstract:

Salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis are food-borne diseases. We estimated and forecasted the number of cases of these three diseases in Belgium from 2012 to 2020, and calculated the corresponding number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The salmonellosis time series was fitted with a Bai and Perron two-breakpoint model, while a dynamic linear model was used for campylobacteriosis and a Poisson autoregressive model for listeriosis. The average monthly number of cases of salmonellosis was 264 (standard deviation (SD): 86) in 2012 and predicted to be 212 (SD: 87) in 2020…
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Abstract

Salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis are food-borne diseases. We estimated and forecasted the number of cases of these three diseases in Belgium from 2012 to 2020, and calculated the corresponding number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The salmonellosis time series was fitted with a Bai and Perron two-breakpoint model, while a dynamic linear model was used for campylobacteriosis and a Poisson autoregressive model for listeriosis. The average monthly number of cases of salmonellosis was 264 (standard deviation (SD): 86) in 2012 and predicted to be 212 (SD: 87) in 2020; campylobacteriosis case numbers were 633 (SD: 81) and 1,081 (SD: 311); listeriosis case numbers were 5 (SD: 2) in 2012 and 6 (SD: 3) in 2014. After applying correction factors, the estimated DALYs for salmonellosis were 102 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 8-376) in 2012 and predicted to be 82 (95% UI: 6-310) in 2020; campylobacteriosis DALYs were 1,019 (95% UI: 137-3,181) and 1,736 (95% UI: 178-5,874); listeriosis DALYs were 208 (95% UI: 192-226) in 2012 and 252 (95% UI: 200-307) in 2014. New actions are needed to reduce the risk of food-borne infection with Campylobacter spp. because campylobacteriosis incidence may almost double through 2020.

Associated health topics:

Health and disease monitoring [17]

Source URL:https://sciensano.be/en/biblio/burden-salmonellosis-campylobacteriosis-and-listeriosis-a-time-series-analysis-belgium-2012-2020

Links
[1] https://sciensano.be/sites/default/files/eurosurv-22-38-31_1.pdf [2] http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.38.30615 [3] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bauthor%5D=51915&f%5Bsearch%5D=Maertens%20de%20Noordhout%2C%20Charline [4] https://sciensano.be/en/people/brecht-devleesschauwer/biblio [5] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bauthor%5D=85251&f%5Bsearch%5D=J%20A%20Haagsma [6] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bauthor%5D=85254&f%5Bsearch%5D=A.%20H.%20Havelaar [7] https://sciensano.be/en/people/sophie-bertrand/biblio [8] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bauthor%5D=42681&f%5Bsearch%5D=Vandenberg%2C%20Olivier [9] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bauthor%5D=178835&f%5Bsearch%5D=Sophie%20Quoilin [10] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bauthor%5D=51921&f%5Bsearch%5D=Brandt%2C%20Patrick%20T [11] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bauthor%5D=35724&f%5Bsearch%5D=Speybroeck%2C%20Niko [12] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bkeyword%5D=405&f%5Bsearch%5D=burden [13] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bkeyword%5D=408&f%5Bsearch%5D=Campylobacter [14] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bkeyword%5D=3828&f%5Bsearch%5D=Listeria [15] https://sciensano.be/en/biblio?f%5Bkeyword%5D=2151&f%5Bsearch%5D=Salmonella [16] https://sciensano.be/en/projects/belgian-national-burden-disease-study [17] https://sciensano.be/en/health-topics/health-and-disease-monitoring